|2021-04-08 来源： 中国石化新闻网|
中国石化新闻网讯 据4月7日FX Empire报道，交易员们最担心的是，全球经济的改善是否会产生足够的需求，以抵消额外供应。美国西德克萨斯中质原油和国际基准布伦特原油期货价格周三小幅走高。早盘支撑市场的催化剂是，随着新冠肺炎疫苗接种的增加，全球经济增长将更加强劲，加上周二晚些时候发布的一份行业报告显示，美国原油库存上周下降。这种情况下，也许限制价格的是一份显示汽油大量增加的报告。
王佳晶 摘译自 FX Empire
Oil Price Fundamental Daily Forecast – New Supply Worries May Be Capping Gains Ahead of EIA Report
The big concern for traders is whether the improving global economy will generate enough demand to offset the possibility of additional supply.
U.S. West Texas Intermediate and international-benchmark Brent crude oil futures are inching higher on Wednesday. The catalysts underpinning the markets early in the session are the prospects for stronger global economic growth amid increased COVID-19 vaccinations and an industry report from late Tuesday that showed U.S. crude inventories fell last week. Perhaps putting a lid on prices was a report showing a large gasoline build.
At 06:55 GMT, May WTI crude oil is trading $59.51, up $0.18 or +0.30% and June Brent crude oil is at $62.90, up $0.16 or +0.26%.
Supported by Strong Signs of Global Economic Growth
Prices are being underpinned as data on Tuesday showed U.S. job openings rose to a two-year high in February while hiring picked up. This followed earlier data showing U.S. services activity touching a record high in March.
Meanwhile, the International Monetary Fund raised its outlook for global economic growth again on Tuesday, forecasting worldwide output would rise 6% this year, reflecting a rapidly brightening outlook for the U.S. economy.
American Petroleum Institute Weekly Inventories Report
The API late Tuesday reported a modest draw in crude oil inventories of 2.618 million barrels for the week-ending April 2. Analysts had predicted a smaller draw of 1.436 million barrels for the week.
The API also reported a build in gasoline inventories of 4.553 million barrels for the week-ending April 2.
Distillate stocks saw an increase in inventories this week of 2.810 million barrels for the week, after last week’s 2.595-million-barrel increase.
The big concern for crude oil bulls is whether the rapidly improving global economy will generate enough demand to offset the possibility of additional supply hitting the market.
Traders are hoping the pace of vaccinations outpace the spread of COVID-19 variants sweeping the world. But they are also worried about the gradual increase in output by OPEC+ and additional supplies that might be brought onto the market should the talks over the Iranian nuclear deal end with lifting U.S. sanctions.
Nonetheless, some analysts are optimistic about the prospect of higher prices.
“Optimism on the global economic outlook boosted sentiment in the crude oil market,” analysts from ANZ bank wrote in a note on Wednesday.
We’re going to release of the Energy Information Administration (EIA) inventories report. It is expected to show a 2.0 million barrel drawdown in crude oil supply.